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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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News
Why the Gasoline Price Spike Didn’t Derail Consumer Spending despite all Moaning & Groaning: Auto Dealers Got Caught Too
4+ day, 9+ hour ago (401+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation This is pretty crazy behavior by dealers buying used…...
The Spread between 10-Year Treasury Yield & 30-Year Mortgage Rate Has Been Stuck at 2 Percentage Points despite Fannie & Freddie MBS Buybacks: Some Thoughts
1+ week, 2+ day ago (946+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.71%, the…...
Credit Card Delinquencies, Payment Volume, Balances, Debt-to-Income, Credit Limits in Q2 2026: Americans and their Plastic
2+ week, 4+ day ago (1073+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The 30-plus days delinquency rate on credit cards issued…...
Here Come the HELOCs: Mortgages, Housing-Debt-to-Income-Ratio, Serious Delinquencies, and Foreclosures in Q2 2026
1+ mon, 5+ hour ago (932+ words) Mortgage balances fell by $74 billion (-0.6%) in Q2, to $13.12 trillion, according to the Household Debt and Credit Report from the New York Fed, which gets the data from Equifax. The unusual decline “was due to a temporary gap in the reporting of…...
Pending Home Sales Plunge to Near-Record Low in the Data, Hit Low in the West. Since then, Mortgage Rates Rose Further
1+ mon, 3+ week ago (601+ words) This is now the fourth year that demand has been in the deep-freeze, amid the highest supply of existing single-family homes in 10 years and of existing condos in 14 years. Pending home sales fell in all regions, with the index plunging…...
Gasoline Plunged in June and lots of Month-to-Month CPI Squiggles Happened to Drop Simultaneously, but that Won’t Last
1+ mon, 4+ week ago (987+ words) The Consumer Price Index for gasoline prices plunged in June from the spike in the prior months, roughly as expected as prices at the pump started dropping in May. But June was also one of those rare months when the…...
Unwinding the “Lock-in Effect” Suddenly Stalls as Homeowners Stopped Paying Off Below-3% Mortgages
2+ mon, 1+ week ago (974+ words) The share of 3% to 3.99% mortgages edged down by just 20 basis points in Q1 from Q4, the smallest quarter-to-quarter decline since their share started to decline in 2022, to a share of 30.4% of all mortgages (blue), according to data by the Federal Housing Finance…...
Money-Market Funds & CDs: Americans and their Piles of Interest-Earning Cash as “Real” Yields Turn Negative
3+ mon, 8+ hour ago (840+ words) These MMF balances include retail MMFs that households bought from their broker or bank, and institutional MMFs that households bought indirectly through their employers, trustees, and fiduciaries – such as in their 401(k) plans. MMFs are short-term liquid ultra-low-risk investments, a…...
Prices of Single-Family Homes already Down 10% to 26% in these 15 Bigger Cities: Every Market is Different
3+ mon, 3+ week ago (569+ words) The major national home price indices roughly agree with each other: For the past months, national home prices barely inched up year-over-year – by less than 1% in April. But this small uptick is composed of big moves up and down in…...
Auto Loan Balances, Debt-to-Income Ratio, and Delinquencies of Subprime & Prime Auto Loans in Q1 2026. How Bad Is it?
3+ mon, 3+ week ago (810+ words) Total balances of auto loans and leases outstanding for new and used vehicles rose by $15 billion in Q1 from Q4 and by $43 billion (+2.6%) year-over-year, to $1.68 trillion, according to the New York Fed’s report on consumer credit, based on Equifax data. But in…...